Think of a scenario in which most everywhere a tropical system CAN FORM around the U.S. HAS FORMED. Not much imagination needed for that one, since that’s basically what we’ve got right now… TD 8 on the East Coast, TD 9 in the Gulf and 2 hurricanes (and one Invest) in the East Pacific.
TD 9 made landfall yesterday with little fanfare, but we are not in the clear yet! The system is now moving into the Gulf and from there it will track back towards the Florida coast and make landfall north of Tampa on Wednesday or Thursday. The intensity forecast is still uncertain; ranging from tropical storm to category one.
Meanwhile, TD 8 is skimming the NC coast and we have two tropical systems approaching the Hawaiian Islands- Madeline and Lester. Category 2 Madeline is the more immediate threat and could be the first ever recorded hurricane strike on the Big Island.
But hold on, there’s more! There is a strong wave rolling off the coast of Africa today that will begin the trek across the Atlantic and likely reach tropical depression status later this week.
While hurricane season runs June-November, forecasters call the period between mid-August and mid-October the “season within the season,” with that eight-week period often the most active and dangerous time for tropical cyclone activity. And the period around Labor Day is often the “peak within the peak.”
Historically speaking, this eight week period has had;
- 78 percent of all tropical storm days on record
- 87 percent of the category 1 and 2 hurricane days on record
- 96 percent of the major (category 3, 4 and 5) hurricane days